The Wrong Newsletter: Sure Things and Soft Clay
Five American women made it to the French Open's third round. We were 93% sure two would survive the fourth. A week that had a lot to say about anchors — and what happens when the ground shifts.
The Predict Six Blog
The Weekly Recap is the table-stakes roundup. The Wrong Newsletter is Phil's reflection on the misses worth dwelling on.
The Wrong Newsletter: Chasing the Wrong Wind
100% wrong on the economy. 94% wrong on the subway series. 85% wrong on Gemini 4. This week was a masterclass in confident error.
The Wrong Newsletter: Filed Under Wrong
Three times this week the crowd was more than 80% confident. Three times we were wrong — and the signals pointing the other way were there the whole time.
The Wrong Newsletter: Sure Things
Three questions this week where 80%+ of us were confident. We were wrong about all three.