Next target... Will the U.S. formally indict former Cuban leader Raúl Castro before June 1?
58% of users predicted NO — the community missed this one. 31 predictions cast.
The U.S. Department of Justice on May 20, 2026, formally indicted former Cuban President Raúl Castro on charges of conspiracy to kill U.S. nationals, destruction of an aircraft, and murder, stemming from Cuba's 1996 shootdown of two civilian planes operated by the exile organization Brothers to the Rescue. Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche announced the charges at a ceremony at Miami's Freedom Tower, honoring the four men killed in the attack — three U.S. citizens and one permanent resident.
Federal prosecutors in Miami had first drafted an indictment against Castro in the 1990s, making this a prosecution more than three decades in the making. The Trump administration cited new legal arguments and its broader pressure campaign on Havana as enabling factors in finally moving the case forward.
The indictment is widely viewed as part of the administration's strategy to increase leverage over the Cuban government in negotiations over economic and political reforms. Because Castro, now 94, resides in Cuba, the prospects of a trial remain remote. The Predict Six community predicted NO at 58% — underestimating the administration's willingness to act — making this one of the day's notable misses.