Will Trump’s disapproval rating hit 60% or higher before June 1, per the NYT poll-of-polls?
64% of users predicted YES — the community got this one right. 42 predictions cast.
President Trump's disapproval rating reached 60 percent or higher in the New York Times polling aggregate ahead of the question's May 18 resolution date, reflecting the highest sustained level of public disapproval of his second term. Multiple national surveys feeding into the aggregate placed disapproval at or above the threshold: a CNN/SSRS poll registered 65 percent disapproval — the highest on record for Trump — and an NBC News poll put disapproval at 63 percent. The NYT/Siena poll separately showed only 37 percent approval, a second-term low.
Analysts attributed the deteriorating numbers to voter discontent over tariff-driven inflation, the administration's handling of the Iran situation, and economic uncertainty more broadly. Trump's approval trajectory during the first half of 2026 represented a notable slide from his post-inauguration standing.
The Predict Six community largely saw this coming: 64 percent voted Yes on this question, matching the outcome.