May 28, 2026

4 resolutions on this day.

๐Ÿˆ Sports Resolved NO

Will Jannik Sinner complete the career grand slam by winning this year's French Open?

Community missed this one โ€” 57% predicted YES.

World No. 1 Jannik Sinner was eliminated from the French Open in the second round on May 28, 2026, falling to 56th-ranked Juan Manuel Cerundolo of Argentina 3-6, 2-6, 7-5, 6-1, 6-1 at Roland Garros in Paris. The defeat ended Sinner's 30-match winning streak and ended any possibility of his completing a career Grand Slam at this year's tournament.

Sinner dominated the first two sets before the match turned dramatically. After building a 5-1 lead in the third set, the Italian lost 18 consecutive points. He received medical attention courtside, citing illness, and appeared to struggle with intense heat throughout the later stages of the match. Cerundolo, who entered as a 32-1 underdog, closed out the final two sets in commanding fashion.

The loss made Sinner the first men's top seed in more than 25 years to fail to advance past the second round at Roland Garros. His exit reshuffled the draw and elevated other contenders โ€” including Carlos Alcaraz and Novak Djokovic โ€” as new title favorites. A slim majority of community forecasters (57%) had expected Sinner to win the tournament, reflecting his status as the heavy pretournament favorite. That expectation was overturned by one of the biggest upsets in recent Roland Garros history.

๐Ÿˆ Sports Resolved YES

After M's host A's next week, will the AL West be lead by a sub .500 team (more L's than W's)?

Community missed this one โ€” 67% predicted NO.

The Seattle Mariners swept a three-game series against the Oakland Athletics at the Oakland Coliseum, capped by a 9-1 victory on May 27, 2026, to take first place in the American League West with a record of 28-29. The division leader held more losses than wins โ€” a sub-.500 record โ€” making this question resolve Yes.

The Athletics had previously held first place in the AL West, but Seattle's sweep pushed Oakland to 27-29, a half-game behind the new leaders. Both clubs finished the series below the .500 mark, reflecting a division where no team has managed to separate from the field through the first two months of the 2026 season.

The wide-open nature of the AL West has been a recurring storyline in 2026. Standings shifts have been frequent, and no team has sustained a winning record over any extended stretch. Community forecasters were skeptical this scenario would play out, with only 33% predicting a sub-.500 leader after the series concluded. The Mariners' dominant run-scoring and pitching depth during the sweep proved that minority right.

๐Ÿ’ฐ Markets Resolved NO

Will US Initial Jobless Claims out on 5/28 come in below economist expectations (fewer than expected)?

Community missed this one โ€” 59% predicted YES.

Initial jobless claims for the week ended May 23 rose 5,000 to a seasonally adjusted 215,000, the Labor Department reported on May 28, 2026. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 211,000 claims, meaning the actual reading came in above expectations โ€” resolving this question as No.

The 4,000-claim miss was modest, and claims remained within the 190,000โ€“230,000 range that has characterized the U.S. labor market throughout 2026. Layoffs have stayed relatively low despite the macroeconomic uncertainty created by broad import tariffs implemented in 2025 and ongoing U.S.-Israel military operations against Iran. The slight uptick did not signal broad deterioration in employment conditions.

The weekly jobless claims print is a closely watched leading indicator of labor market health. A reading above forecast โ€” even marginally โ€” can suggest softening conditions, though economists note the metric's inherent week-to-week volatility makes any single print difficult to interpret in isolation. A slight majority of community forecasters (59%) had expected claims to come in below the consensus estimate, reflecting broader confidence in labor market resilience. That expectation did not materialize.

๐Ÿˆ Sports Resolved YES

Will NHL's Carolina Hurricanes win Wed's Game 4 on the road in Montreal? CAR leads series 2-1.

Community missed this one โ€” 65% predicted NO.

The Carolina Hurricanes defeated the Montreal Canadiens 4-0 in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Final on May 27, 2026, at Bell Centre in Montreal, moving within one win of reaching the Stanley Cup Final for the first time since 2006. The Hurricanes now hold a commanding 3-1 series lead.

Carolina's offense erupted early, with Sebastian Aho, Jordan Staal and Logan Stankoven scoring three goals in a span of 2:47 in the first period. Andrei Svechnikov added an empty-net goal late in the third period. Goaltender Frederik Andersen stopped all 18 shots he faced for his third shutout of the 2026 Stanley Cup Playoffs.

The Hurricanes have been among the most consistent defensive teams in the postseason, relying on depth scoring and structured team defense rather than a single offensive star. Their road shutout in Montreal underscored Carolina's ability to suppress the Canadiens' transition game, which had been a key element of Montreal's playoff run. The community leaned toward Montreal in this game, with 65% predicting a Hurricanes loss โ€” a majority that the outcome proved wrong.