Will Gina Carano’s Mixed Martial Arts comeback begin with a win over Ronda Rousey on May 16, 2026?
54% of users predicted YES — the community missed this one. 35 predictions cast.
Ronda Rousey defeated Gina Carano by first-round submission — an armbar — at approximately 17 seconds of the opening round on May 16, 2026, in the main event of Most Valuable Promotions’ debut MMA card, broadcast live on Netflix. Rousey shot for an immediate takedown from the opening bell, secured mount, and extended into the armbar before Carano tapped out in under 20 seconds.
The fight marked Rousey’s return to competition after nearly a decade away from the sport; her last MMA bout had been a December 2016 UFC title loss to Amanda Nunes. Carano, 38, had not competed in MMA since a 2013 loss to Cristiane Santos and entered the fight amid a high-profile public rehabilitation following her 2021 Disney firing.
The event was part of Netflix’s expanding live-sports portfolio, which has previously aired boxing and wrestling content. Rousey’s outcome was decisive enough to end any doubt about the margin. The Predict Six community predicted YES at 54% — a slim majority had expected Carano to win — making this a miss for participants. The fight lasted too briefly to provide a competitive sample that might have shifted the result.