Week of May 10, 2026 — May 16, 2026
60%
community accuracy on 27 of 45 resolved questions
By category
🏈
Sports
50%
6 of 12
💰
Markets
83%
5 of 6
🏛
Politics
80%
4 of 5
🎬
Culture
60%
6 of 10
💻
Technology
33%
1 of 3
🌍
World
56%
5 of 9
Questions that mattered
🏈 Sports
Biggest miss
"Will Arsenal clinch the Premier League title by Sunday, May 17?"
13% community accuracy
31 votes
Outcome: No
🏈 Sports
Biggest hit
"Will the 'kiss & no-tell' Mike Vrabel resign or get fired as the Patriot's head coach by May 15?"
91% community accuracy
34 votes
Outcome: No
🌍 World
Most-predicted
"Will JD Vance emerge from his role as the lead negotiator in the Iran talks with ALL CAPS PRAISE (aka a positive reaction) from his boss?"
40% community accuracy
45 votes
Outcome: No
This week's index reflects 45 questions and 1,675 community votes. Read the methodology →